Certain Doubt

Nothing is certain in life except doubt

  • Home
  • About Me
  • Book Reviews
  • Personal Plea
  • Statement of Purpose

Posts Tagged ‘Pentagon’

It Always Comes Down to Money.

Wednesday, June 1st, 2011

In the end it always comes down to money.

The recent article in the New York Times by David Sanger and Elisabeth Bumiller entitled “Pentagon to Consider Cyberattacks Acts of War,” presents a chilling scenario:

“The Pentagon, trying to create a formal strategy to deter cyberattacks on the United States, plans to issue a new strategy soon declaring that a computer attack from a foreign nation can be considered an act of war that may result in a military response.

The new military strategy… makes explicit that a cyberattack could be considered equivalent to a more traditional act of war.” NYT

Just what constitutes a “cyberattack” is not made clear except to say that “any computer attack that threatens widespread civilian casualties — for example, by cutting off power supplies or bringing down hospitals and emergency-responder networks — could be treated as an act of aggression.”

That the Pentagon should employ such a broad reaching definition for cyberattack should give us pause. But it is the proposed response to such an attack that is really mind blowing. In a Wall Street Journal article Pentagon officials outlined the rationale behind the policy:

One idea gaining momentum at the Pentagon is the notion of “equivalence.” If a cyber attack produces the death, damage, destruction or high-level disruption that a traditional military attack would cause, then it would be a candidate for a “use of force” consideration, which could merit retaliation.
WSJ

Given the increasing alacrity with which the United States has been exercising its military muscle around the world, the conclusions about the effects of this policy are inescapable. As one military official is quoted as saying:

“If you shut down our power grid, maybe we will put a missile down one of your smokestacks.”

The putative logic presented by the Pentagon is that by laying out a clear and forceful policy for dealing with threats such as malicious cyber attacks, the Pentagon will – at least in theory – provide a deterrent. The model quoted in the article is that of the deterrent posed by an American policy of absolute retaliation in the event of a nuclear attack.

“A parallel, outside experts say, is the George W. Bush administration’s policy of holding foreign governments accountable for harboring terrorist organizations, a policy that led to the U.S. military campaign to oust the Taliban from power in Afghanistan.” WSJ

The main problem with the Pentagon proposal is that it is a stunning display of overkill. Not only is it hard to imagine which foreign country would be lurking out there with the capability or desire to inflict lethal cyber-damage on the United States, but it defies belief that any bit of cyber chicanery that such a country could come up with could possibly produce the kind of devastation that a single nuclear warhead could wreak. Thus, the kind of “mutually assured cyber-destruction that the Pentagon is implying is not only unnecessary, it is incredibly assymetrical and in no way “equivalent.” It’s sort of like responding to a bee sting by hitting the hive with a 2,000 lb. bunker buster.

Another problem with the Pentagon’s policy is that most of the cyberattacks that the United States has acknowledged have come not from foreign nations at all but from independent hackers and loose-nit organizations such as “Annonymous.” Given the broad definition the Pentagon puts forth it wouldn’t be much of a stretch to label any malicious cyber activity as an attack that would merit a military response. One can even envision a group of strategists in the Pentagon basement thinking up strategies for dropping a smart bomb down Julian Assange’s chimney.

Even when cyber attacks represent legitimate threats, it is often difficult to pin down where the attack originates from. As the NYT article notes:

“During the cold war, deterrence worked because there was little doubt the Pentagon could quickly determine where an attack was coming from — and could counterattack a specific missile site or city. In the case of a cyberattack, the origin of the attack is almost always unclear, as it was in 2010 when a sophisticated attack was made on Google and its computer servers. Eventually Google concluded that the attack came from China. But American officials never publicly identified the country where it originated, much less whether it was state sanctioned or the action of a group of hackers.”

“One of the questions we have to ask is, How do we know we’re at war?” one former Pentagon official said.

Another variable not explored in either the Wall Street Journal or The New York Times is the sometimes tenuous dividing line between the U.S. government and the defense contractors it employs. For example, Lockheed Martin recently claimed it’s information systems were the target of a “cyber attack”

Given the fact that Lockheed Martin’s products include the Trident missile, P-3 Orion spy plane, F-16 and F-22 Raptor fighter jets and C-130 Hercules military cargo planes among many other major weapons systems, could this attack on a private corporation be considered an attack on the United States and thus one that would merit a military response by the U.S. military? With all the various contractors and sub-contractors now employed by the Pentagon would a cyber attack on any of them be considered an act of war?

If the danger is not clear and present, if the culprits are hard, if not impossible to identify, and if the list of targets is endless, why on earth would the Pentagon be proposing military action, i.e. war, as a response?

Not surprisingly, like so much that comes out of the Pentagon , the answer comes down to money.

“The Pentagon strategy is coming out at a moment when billions of dollars are up for grabs among federal agencies working on cyber-related issues, including the National Security Agency, the Central Intelligence Agency and the Department of Homeland Security. Each has been told by the White House to come up with approaches that fit the international cyberstrategy that the White House published in May. “

Thus, once again, the Pentagon’s strategy for dealing with a perceived attack has little or nothing to do with protecting the homeland.

Surprise, surprise. Once again, it’s all about the Benjamins baby!

Tags: Benjamins, Certain Doubt, cyber attacks, cyberattacks, defense, ethical, government, money, Pentagon, reddit, retaliation, spectacle, Thomas Vincent, Vincent, war
Posted in Daily Rant, Ethics, Politics, economics, government, technology, warfare | No Comments »

The Irony of Hubris

Tuesday, August 24th, 2010

The blogosphere has been lit up recently by accusations of rape/molestation against Wikileaks founder Julian Assange. (A Google search of “Wikileaks Rape” turned up 11 million hits.)

Several writers, including Assange himself, have derided the whole thing as a clumsy “dirty tricks” smear campaign orchestrated by the C.I.A. and the Pentagon.

I disagree… at least about the clumsy part.

If the C.I.A./Pentagon did have anything to do with the accusations leveled against Assange the plot shows a remarkable degree of elegance and subtlety. Either that or they got real lucky.

Consider, for example, the ironies of the situation:

1) Assange, a secretive man, finds himself embroiled in a tawdry and very public sex scandal that if even partly true completely dismantles his carefully cultivated a image as a man of mystery.

2) Wikileaks, a crusading whistle blower organization famous for leaking some 95,000 secret and embarrassing documents finds itself embarrassed when its founder finds details of his private sex life “leaked” to the press by an as yet unnamed whistle blower.

3) Assange, who came to Sweden seeking a safe haven for Wikileaks under their liberal whistle blower protection laws, find himself a victim of those same laws that protect the anonymity of his accusers.

I am in no way supporting or condemning Assange in all of this. I find the question of whether Julian Assange is guilty or innocent of the charges leveled at him largely irrelevant. Nether do I find the narrative that the C.I.A./ Pentagon was involved in a honey trap plot particularly compelling by itself.

I do find it fascinating that people in the news – mostly men it must be noted – persist in looking like deer in the headlights when they find details of their personal lives splashed across the tabloids. Elliot Spitzer, Mark Sanford, Larry Craig, and yes, even Bill Clinton. What sort of hubris runs through the veins of public officials who think that they alone will be exempt from sex scandals. Assange himself has intimated that he received warnings from Australian security agents that he could find himself the target of some form of dirty tricks smear campaign. And yet apparently he had “consensual” sex with at least one of the women named in the suit. What was he thinking? That he was some kind of super spook, that no aspect of his private life (like any his sexual activity) would ever wind up being made public? Did he think he was invincible?

The lessons of Spitzer, Sanford, Craig, and Clinton seem obvious to me. If you are a public personality, especially one who delights in “crushing bastards,” and you’ve been warned that those same bastards are out to entrap and smear you, don’t act so surprised and “disturbed” when your private sex life winds up on the front page.

For me, the ultimate irony of the Assange imbroglio is that the Wikileaks founder has made headlines by raising institutional information transparency to almost Holy Grail status, while at the same time insisting on maintaining a cult of personal privacy.

I hate to be the one to break it to him but life just doesn’t work that way.

Anyone who generates as much media buzz over their cause as Assange can’t expect to maintain a total “cone of silence” around their personal life. Anyone who acts as a front man for a crusade against government secrecy has to assume that anything he does in private won’t remain private for long. Whether he was the victim of dirty tricks or whether he simply got his comeuppance for acting like a dick in bed matters not one whit. By clinging to a fantasy image of an international man of mystery, one who is above the slings and arrows of tabloid journalism, Assange is guilty at the very least of extreme naivité. If he is the victim of a smear campaign, by his own hubris he made it awfully easy for his enemies.

Ultimately, the only thing the Assange scandal proves is that while he may be a successful blogger and hacker and exposer of secrets, as a super spy, I’m afraid he’s looking more and more like a total amateur.

Tags: Assange, C.I.A., dirty tricks, government, honey trap, hubris, irony, Pentagon, rape, scandal, sex, spy, Thomas Vincent, Vincent, wikileaks
Posted in Daily Doubt, Ethics, Politics, media, warfare | No Comments »

Recipe for Disaster

Friday, July 2nd, 2010

In a recent town hall meeting in Racine, Wisconsin, President Barrack Obama called for sending a “civilian expeditionary force” to Afghanistan and Iraq to help overburdened military troops build infrastructure.

I think this is an exceedingly bad idea. My reasoning is as follows:

Cost A new layer of bureaucracy to build up infrastructures in foreign countries will be extremely costly. At a time when we have to borrow massively from countries like China and Japan just to pay for our current military expeditions, where is the money going to come from to pay for it? Will the government saddle our children’s children with more debt so we can build roads, bridges and schools in Afghanistan?

Unnecessary There is absolute certainty in my mind (a rare occurrence to be sure) that our military exercises in Afghanistan and Iraq have nothing to do with defending our country and making us safer and everything to do with maintaining an imperialistic status quo for the benefit of large corporations. I realize this is an extremely cynical viewpoint. However, the fact remains, we invaded, and are still occupying militarily, two sovereign nations who never attacked us, had no intention of attacking us and who even today lack any of the resources necessary to attack us. The group who did attack us, al Qaeda, is today, not in Afghanistan or Iraq and even if they were, the threat they pose to our way of life is not one that can be met with either a unilateral military show of force or a unilateral “civilian expeditionary force.”

Why Americans? Even if one buys into the notion that building up infrastructure in countries like Afghanistan is the only way to win hearts and minds, why should it be Americans who do the building? Unemployment in America is currently hovering below 10%. According to the World Factbook, as of 2008, unemployment in Afghanistan was a whopping 35%, the highest in the world. If you really want to win hearts and minds of the people, doesn’t it make more sense to hire them to build roads instead of importing yet more Americans?

Redundant Even if you buy into the logic of building up infrastructure in Afghanistan and Iraq and you are committed to using Americans, why do you need what is in essence a whole new army? What ever happened to the US Army corps of engineers or the Seabees? I mean we are currently spending 130 billion dollars in the Middle East with probably 33 or so billion more to come when the Senate returns from Fourth of July break. Where is all this money going? 160 billion and the Army is so “overburdened” that they can’t figure out how to build a couple of bridges or a hospital?

Mission Creep The Department of Defense Directive 1404.10, dated January 23, 2009, is so broad in scope that its ambit goes far beyond simply relieving overburdened troops. The directive as written sets up a “Civilian Expeditionary Workforce” that would “be organized, trained, cleared, equipped, and ready to deploy in support of combat operations by the military; contingencies; emergency operations; humanitarian missions; disaster relief; restoration of order; drug interdiction; and stability operations.”

In short, the Pentagon under Barrack Obama wants to set up a brand new international civilian police force. Restoration of order? Drug interdiction? Stability operations? What happened to the part about rebuilding infrastructure?

Conclusion The people of Afghanistan are not stupid. They know that unemployment, poverty, and corruption are the main causes of distress in their country. Similarly, Iraqis are well aware of the sectarian violence that plagues their nation. Both countries are painfully aware that the presence of US soldiers exacerbates the problems they face. By large margins the people of Iraq and Afghanistan simply want US soldiers to go home. The last thing they want – or need – is more Americans swaggering around telling them what to do.

And the last thing we need is a new civilian police force that we can’t afford that will be sent to countries where they are not wanted.

A Civilian expeditionary Force is a recipe for disaster.

Tags: afghanistan, army, civilian, Iraq, Obama, Pentagon, Politics, war
Posted in Daily Rant, Politics, warfare | No Comments »

Insult Me

Tuesday, February 23rd, 2010


My ego is not terrifically large. It takes quite a bit to make me feel insulted. I don’t usually get upset and fly off the handle at the slightest slight. However, there is one thing that will push my buttons, light me up, and set me off quicker than you can say “Roman Candle.”

Insult my intelligence.

The recent pronouncement that the War in Iraq is to be changed from “Operation Iraqi Freedom” to “Operation New Dawn” falls squarely under the heading of “You must think I’m an idiot.” I know, the term “military intelligence” is an oxymoron. But really, whom does the Pentagon think they are fooling here? A continuing military occupation that continues to consume our tax dollars at the rate of approximately $7.3 Billion a month, an occupation that shows no signs of abating in my lifetime and they have the gall to re-name it “Operation New Dawn?”

In justifying the change, Defense Secretary Robert Gates has been quoted as saying:

“Aligning the name change with the change of mission sends a strong signal that Operation IRAQI FREEDOM has ended and our forces are operating under a new mission… It also presents opportunities to synchronize strategic communications initiatives, reinforce our commitment to honor the Security Agreement, and recognize our evolving relationship with the government of Iraq.”

Like I said, insulting.

At least when the Bush administration rebranded the “War on Terror,” to “The Long War,” it was honest. By contrast, the Obama administration’s renaming of the Long War as “Overseas Contingency Operations,” raises obfuscation to a whole new plateau. As John Oliver of the Daily Show puts it, it seems as if the Obama administration is working to “Literally confuse us into reassurance.”

Me? I’m not reassured. I’m insulted.

Calling the travesty of what we are doing in Iraq “Operation New Dawn,” is worse than putting lipstick on a pig. It’s more like hanging a sign around the poor unfortunate porker’s neck that says: “Look at me. I’m a Duck.” It’s worse than insulting. It’s pathetic.

“Operation New Dawn.” I mean really. What are they going to call it when we invade Iran? “Operation Wash the Axis of Evil with Concentrated Low Temperature Detergent”… brought to you by Arm(s) and Hammer(s)? This type of idiocy is one more bit of evidence to add to the overwhelming case that no one’s manning the wheelhouse of the ship of state.

Of course, if the White House and Pentagon were to give a truly honest name for what we are doing in the Middle East it might be a little hard to sell, I suppose. After all, who’s going to buy a product called: “Operation, Bankrupt America to Feed a Voracious Industrial War Machine in the Name of Satisfying a Neo-Conservative Wet Dream of Military World Hegemony?”

That might be a little hard to fit on a label.

Tags: bush, dawn, freedom, government, hegemony, insult, long war, Neo-Con, Obama, operation new dawn, Pentagon, war
Posted in Daily Rant | 2 Comments »

  • Categories

    • Daily Doubt (48)
    • Daily Rant (47)
    • economics (39)
    • Ethics (53)
    • government (24)
    • humor (13)
    • law (20)
    • media (33)
    • Politics (91)
    • satire (5)
    • technology (3)
    • Uncategorized (31)
    • warfare (35)
  • Other Writings

    • Book Reviews
  • Blogroll

    • Antiwar.com
    • Aphelion Webzine
    • Daily Kos
    • Freaking News
    • imgur
    • Impermanent Media
    • Olympia Newswire
    • Photobucket
    • Real Change Newspaper
    • The Ethical Spectacle
    • The Real News
  • Networking Sites

    • Digg.com
    • Reddit
  • News Sites

    • Antiwar.com
    • Common Dreams
    • Freaking News
    • Olympia Newswire
    • Raw Story
    • Wikileaks
  • Archives

    • December 2011
    • November 2011
    • October 2011
    • September 2011
    • August 2011
    • July 2011
    • June 2011
    • May 2011
    • April 2011
    • March 2011
    • February 2011
    • January 2011
    • December 2010
    • November 2010
    • October 2010
    • September 2010
    • August 2010
    • July 2010
    • June 2010
    • May 2010
    • April 2010
    • March 2010
    • February 2010
    • January 2010
    • December 2009
    • November 2009
    • October 2009
    • September 2009
    • August 2009
    • July 2009
    • June 2009
    • May 2009
    • March 2009
    • February 2009
    • January 2009
  • Admin

    • Log in
    • Entries RSS
    • Comments RSS
    • WordPress.org

Copyright © 2012 - Certain Doubt | Entries (RSS) | Comments (RSS)

WordPress theme designed by web design